Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.191992 0.218548 0.247052 0.279874 0.316579 0.356312 0.402530
2025-12-21 0.155087 0.190246 0.230513 0.279874 0.338575 0.405963 0.488987
2025-12-28 0.131202 0.171731 0.220816 0.284273 0.363735 0.459511 0.583206
2026-01-04 0.114404 0.158681 0.215029 0.291360 0.391327 0.516972 0.685895
2026-01-11 0.099451 0.145511 0.206851 0.293543 0.411750 0.565966 0.780790
2026-01-18 0.088748 0.136350 0.202415 0.299418 0.436532 0.621426 0.887153
2026-01-25 0.080551 0.129469 0.199985 0.307193 0.463749 0.681223 1.002605
2026-02-01 0.071304 0.119752 0.192203 0.306104 0.477686 0.722833 1.094751
2026-02-08 0.063479 0.111167 0.185008 0.304811 0.490605 0.763090 1.186638
2026-02-15 0.056764 0.103481 0.178262 0.303271 0.502522 0.801985 1.278119
2026-02-22 0.052669 0.099604 0.177042 0.310039 0.527304 0.861071 1.402537
2026-03-01 0.047774 0.093746 0.171930 0.309870 0.540772 0.903224 1.502956
2026-03-08 0.043245 0.088144 0.166908 0.309733 0.554780 0.947885 1.611343
2026-03-15 0.039331 0.083198 0.162509 0.310187 0.569645 0.994612 1.725511
2026-03-22 0.036523 0.080010 0.160893 0.315270 0.592541 1.055490 1.865670
2026-03-29 0.034376 0.077854 0.160919 0.323198 0.620740 1.126524 2.026081
2026-04-05 0.031752 0.074405 0.158152 0.325679 0.639313 1.182148 2.163355
2026-04-12 0.029850 0.072228 0.157598 0.332177 0.665405 1.251847 2.327811
2026-04-19 0.028332 0.070693 0.158139 0.340741 0.695713 1.330293 2.510977
2026-04-26 0.025969 0.066985 0.153915 0.339562 0.707566 1.376517 2.639759
2026-05-03 0.023818 0.063488 0.149777 0.338150 0.718739 1.421876 2.768897
2026-05-10 0.021852 0.060176 0.145695 0.336464 0.729137 1.466144 2.897894
2026-05-17 0.020798 0.058943 0.145999 0.343899 0.757911 1.545698 3.094700